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Tool Catalogue for Uncertainty Assessment
Introduction
1. Sensitivity analysis
2. Error propagation equation ("TIER 1")
3. Monte Carlo analysis ("TIER 2")
4. NUSAP
5. Expert elicitation for uncertainty quantification
6. Scenario analysis
7. PRIMA: A framework for perspective-based uncertainty management
8. Checklist for model quality assistance
Description
Goals and use
Sorts and locations of uncertainty addressed
Required resources
Strengths and limitations
Guidance on application
Pitfalls
References
9. A method for critical review of assumptions in model-based assessments

Strengths and limitations

Typical strengths of the checklist for model quality assistance are:

  • It provides diagnostic help as to where problems with regard to quality and uncertainty may occur and why
  • It raises awareness of pitfalls in the modelling process;
  • Typical limitations of the checklist for model quality assistance are:
  • It is not a panacea for the problem that models of complex systems cannot be validated.